水土保持工程合理施工期限推估模式之研究

南華大學機構典藏系統 > 科技學院 > 永續綠色科技碩士學位學程 > 博碩士論文 > Item 987654321/28758

請使用永久網址來引用或連結此文件: http://nhuir.nhu.edu.tw/handle/987654321/28758

題名:	水土保持工程合理施工期限推估模式之研究
其他題名:	Estimation Approaches of Reasonable Construction Duration in Engineering of Soil and Water Conservation
作者:	梁瑞真 LIANG, JUI-CHEN
貢獻者:	科技學院永續綠色科技碩士學位學程林文賜;鄭皆達 LIN, WEN-TZU;CHENG, JIE-DAR
關鍵詞:	水土保持工程;治山防災;農路改善;迴歸分析;施工期限 Soil and Water Conservation Engineering;Erosion and Sediment Control Engineering;Access road Improvement;Regression Analysis;Construction Period
日期:	2020
上傳時間:	2022-08-15 11:10:44 (UTC+8)
摘要:	水土保持工程之預定施工期限，係參照「水土保持工程預算書編製原則及工料分析手冊」中之各類工程預定施工期限參考表訂之，惟該表施工期限係由以往之施工經驗訂之，且甚久都未再檢討更新，因此，本研究主要在推估研究與檢討修訂合理之施工期限。　　研究方法係以迴歸統計分析方式，針對實際施工期限及工程發包款等數據，進行簡單與多元迴歸分析，並藉由模式檢定、檢核誤差項假設及驗證結果，確定推估迴歸模式與計算合理施工期限，最終完成修訂治山防災與農路改善類之預定施工期限參考表。　　主要研究成果為建立治山防災與農路改善類簡單與多元迴歸模式如下，並已完成修訂合理之預定施工期限參考表，惟治山防災類之多元迴歸模式中，因其「開工日期」個別迴歸係數之t值檢定結果未具顯著性，故不適合做為預測模式。(1)簡單迴歸模式　　A.治山防災類 y = 14.707x + 54.247　　B.農路改善類 y = 18.082x + 46.686　　式中y為施工工期(日)，x為發包工程款(百萬元)。(2)多元迴歸模式　　農路改善類 y = 64.696 + 16.598x1 - 1.323x2　　式中y為施工工期(日)，x1為發包工程款(百萬元)，x2為縣市。　　本研究過程中發現部分變數間具有顯著相關性，推測可能呈線性或非線性關係，值得再進一深入探討。另案例資料數量若可再蒐集更加完整，對於植生綠美化或農村公共設施等類別，亦可建立合適之迴歸模式與合理施工期限。　　The scheduled construction period for soil and water conservation engineering is based on the reference table for scheduled construction of various engineering in the “Handbook of Budget Preparation Principles and Materials Analysis for Soil and Water Conservation Engineering”.　　The scheduled construction period of the reference table is based on past construction experience and has not been reviewed and updated for a long time. Therefore, this study mainly estimates and revises a reasonable construction period.　　The research method is to use simple and multiple regression analysis on the Construction period and Engineering funding, then through the verification model and error assumptions and verification results, determine the estimated regression model and calculate the reasonable construction period, and finally revise the scheduled construction period reference table for erosion and sediment control engineering and access road improvement.　　The main research results establish simple and multiple regression models for the types of erosion and sediment control engineering and access road improvement as follows. And has completed the revision of the reasonable schedule of scheduled construction. However, in the multiple regression model of erosion and sediment control engineering, because the t-value test result of the individual regression coefficient of “start date of construction” is not significant, it is not suitable as a prediction model.(1)Simple regression models　　A.Erosion and sediment control engineering　　y = 14.707x + 54.247　　B.Access road improvement　　y = 18.082x + 46.686　　In the formula, y is the scheduled construction period (day), and x is the engineering budget (NT million dollar).(2)Multiple regression models　　Access road improvement　　y = 64.696 + 16.598x1 - 1.323x2　　Where y is the scheduled construction period (day), x1 is the engineering budget (NT million dollar), and x2 is the city location.　　In the course of this research, it was found that some variables have significant correlations, speculate that there may be a linear or nonlinear relationship, which is worth discussing in depth in the future.　　In addition, if the number of case data can be collected more completely, for the vegetation and Rural Regeneration engineering, it is also possible to establish a suitable regression model and estimate a reasonable construction period.
顯示於類別:	[永續綠色科技碩士學位學程] 博碩士論文

文件中的檔案:

檔案	描述	大小	格式	瀏覽次數
109NHU00159001-001.pdf		3220Kb	Adobe PDF	49	檢視/開啟
index.html		0Kb	HTML	130	檢視/開啟

在NHUIR中所有的資料項目都受到原著作權保護.

TAIR相關文章

資料載入中.....